Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.021789 0.023411 0.025101 0.026994 0.029057 0.031241 0.033730
2024-10-20 0.018703 0.020981 0.023477 0.026422 0.029814 0.033609 0.038194
2024-10-27 0.017081 0.019797 0.022890 0.026691 0.031258 0.036601 0.043368
2024-11-03 0.015752 0.018738 0.022246 0.026699 0.032242 0.038971 0.047837
2024-11-10 0.014860 0.018077 0.021959 0.027029 0.033540 0.041706 0.052857
2024-11-17 0.013831 0.017146 0.021236 0.026710 0.033929 0.043244 0.056369
2024-11-24 0.013038 0.016440 0.020725 0.026589 0.034514 0.045013 0.060246
2024-12-01 0.012248 0.015679 0.020080 0.026223 0.034710 0.046225 0.063386
2024-12-08 0.011711 0.015210 0.019777 0.026275 0.035448 0.048188 0.067683
2024-12-15 0.011084 0.014580 0.019215 0.025923 0.035576 0.049269 0.070732
2024-12-22 0.010459 0.013919 0.018569 0.025406 0.035420 0.049904 0.073118
2024-12-29 0.009985 0.013438 0.018144 0.025169 0.035639 0.051079 0.076384
2025-01-05 0.009530 0.012967 0.017715 0.024909 0.035816 0.052210 0.079681
2025-01-12 0.009017 0.012390 0.017105 0.024348 0.035498 0.052555 0.081723
2025-01-19 0.008779 0.012195 0.017035 0.024582 0.036405 0.054848 0.087125
2025-01-26 0.008493 0.011916 0.016825 0.024587 0.036944 0.056576 0.091685
2025-02-02 0.008308 0.011775 0.016810 0.024886 0.037959 0.059125 0.097843
2025-02-09 0.007978 0.011404 0.016434 0.024597 0.037997 0.060046 0.101168
2025-02-16 0.007716 0.011124 0.016181 0.024487 0.038319 0.061454 0.105464
2025-02-23 0.007415 0.010773 0.015801 0.024154 0.038245 0.062167 0.108511
2025-03-02 0.007223 0.010581 0.015662 0.024202 0.038811 0.064024 0.113850
2025-03-09 0.006956 0.010262 0.015310 0.023882 0.038726 0.064709 0.116962
2025-03-16 0.006670 0.009904 0.014882 0.023413 0.038353 0.064847 0.118994